ICDS – ICDS

Aims to advance the transatlantic community’s strategic thinking on the security challenges facing the Baltic-Nordic region, from armed or cyber attacks to threats against social cohesion and energy security.

Photo:Robert Reisman

Publications

Desynch or Sink: A Political Analysis of Baltic Electricity Desynchronization

The electricity grids of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania are still synchronised with Russia and Belarus in the framework of the so-called BRELL agreement. However, the Baltic states have clearly stated their intent to terminate this agreement and synchronise their grids with those of Europe. While representing a significant milestone both in reducing exposure to Russia‘s strategy of coercion and further integrating the Baltic states into Europe, this “BRELLxit“ process might also cause some risks – ranging from possible Moscow‘s efforts to derail it to the exploitation of the Baltic states‘ de-synchronisation to justify various forms of pressure or even aggression.

This analysis, conducted in co-operation with Yuri Tsarik (Belarus), focuses on the strategic rationale, benefits and risks associated with the BRELLxit process. This analysis is part of a larger ICDS-led study that is supported by Elering – Estonia’s transmission system operator (TSO) – on geopolitical and security aspects of synchronising the electricity grids of the Baltic states with European systems. The final report of the study will be published in early autumn.

Download: Desynch or Sink: A Political Analysis of Baltic Electricity Desynchronization (PDF)

Blog

An Exercise of Tension: Zapad 2017 Undeclared Messages for Ukraine's Security

The tension escalated by media reporting which surrounded the preparation and conduct of the Russian-Belarus exercises Zapad 2017 has demonstrated the...

Zapad and Beyond: a Look at Russian Naval Activities Through the Summer of 2017

Despite its conclusion just over a month ago, Russia’s military exercise Zapad 2017 has left western observers with many unanswered questions.

EU’s Cyber Capacity Building in the Eastern Partnership Countries

“Achieving cyber resilience in the EU” is one of the strategic priorities of the 2013 EU cybersecurity strategy.

Events

Prospects for European Defence and Security Co-Operation

On November 13 Henrik Praks spoke at the public discussion „Which Future for the European Defence and Security“ held in Riga.

A Year since the US Elections: Taking Stock of the US Foreign Policy

On November 10th, ICDS organised a panel discussion titled: “A year since the US Elections: Taking stock of the US foreign policy.”
ICDS – ICDS
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