ICDS – ICDS

Aims to advance the transatlantic community’s strategic thinking on the security challenges facing the Baltic-Nordic region, from armed or cyber attacks to threats against social cohesion and energy security.

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Publications

Decoding Zapad-2017

Russia’s military exercise Zapad-2017, which will be conducted jointly with Belarus, will be actively scrutinized by Western media channels, and security and defence experts.

While the exercise is certainly yet another demonstration of Russia’s military power and political ambitions, it could also be preparation for a future aggression. In the run up to the exercise, Russia has continued to be secretive and hostile, in spite of its efforts to suggest a change of attitude. The increasingly volatile international situation, especially with regard to North Korea and the threat of war in the Far East, may also feature in Russia’s calculations for Zapad-2017 and its identification of opportunities concerning its European neighbours. This paper offers an overview and analysis of what we know about Zapad-2017 as well as deciphers a broader strategic meaning of this exercise.

Download: ICDS Analysis - Decoding Zapad-2017 (PDF)

Blog

The Train of EU Defence Cooperation Moves on - End Station TBA

With much fanfare, 23 EU member states have now formally announced their commitment to ‘permanent structured cooperation’ (PESCO) in the field of...

Poland and Ukraine: a Strategic Argument

The rapid cooling of relations between Ukraine and Poland is not a bolt from the blue—in fact, they have occasionally been problematic before.

An Exercise of Tension: Zapad 2017 Undeclared Messages for Ukraine's Security

The tension escalated by media reporting which surrounded the preparation and conduct of the Russian-Belarus exercises Zapad 2017 has demonstrated the...

Events

EDA Maritime Security Conference 2017

On 16 November, Tony Lawrence chaired a panel at the European Defence Agency’s Maritime Security Conference 2017, “The importance of an innovative...

Dmitri Teperik Briefed CIMIC Officers on Russia's Hostile Activities against Estonia

ICDS Chief Executive Dmitri Teperik participated in the Civil-Military Interaction Seminar hosted by the Multinational Corps Northeast in Szczecin,...
ICDS – ICDS
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