ICDS – ICDS

Aims to advance the transatlantic community’s strategic thinking on the security challenges facing the Baltic-Nordic region, from armed or cyber attacks to threats against social cohesion and energy security.

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Publications

Decoding Zapad-2017

Russia’s military exercise Zapad-2017, which will be conducted jointly with Belarus, will be actively scrutinized by Western media channels, and security and defence experts.

While the exercise is certainly yet another demonstration of Russia’s military power and political ambitions, it could also be preparation for a future aggression. In the run up to the exercise, Russia has continued to be secretive and hostile, in spite of its efforts to suggest a change of attitude. The increasingly volatile international situation, especially with regard to North Korea and the threat of war in the Far East, may also feature in Russia’s calculations for Zapad-2017 and its identification of opportunities concerning its European neighbours. This paper offers an overview and analysis of what we know about Zapad-2017 as well as deciphers a broader strategic meaning of this exercise.

Download: ICDS Analysis - Decoding Zapad-2017 (PDF)

Blog

Responding to “the Most Destructive and Costly Cyberattack in History”

Eight months after the NotPetya ransomware/wipeware disabled 10% of computers in Ukraine, and inflicted financial costs amounting to 0,5% of Ukraine’s...

Syria is Getting Hotter

On December 11th 2017, five days after he announced his expected intention to run for the fourth time for Russia’s presidency, Vladimir Putin visited...

Spy Swaps Make a Comeback in “Intelligence Culture”

As is common in intelligence affairs, the people who know cannot comment. But even the public coverage of recent spy swaps between Estonia and Russia...

Events

Estonian National Defence 2022

On 22 February, ICDS was pleased to host a presentation and discussion of Estonia’s medium-term defence development plan.

Russia’s “allies” Report Presentation

ICDS presented on 14 February 2018 the report Russia’s “allies”, which was written by fellow researcher Kalev Stoicescu.
ICDS – ICDS
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